Now it gets really interesting
In an exclusive, the “Times” today reveals the results of a poll of political opinion in 100 key marginal seats. Populus, who conducted the poll, puts both Labour and Conservatives on about 38 per cent in the seats it examined. The article points out:
“The poll shows that the switch of voters from Labour to the Tories is about 1.5 to 2 points higher in the battleground seats than nationally. That might be worth an extra 20 MPs to the Conservatives, smaller than many in the party would hope after the big spending on these targets. It might be enough only to take the Tories to the threshold of the 326 seats they need for a bare overall majority in the Commons.”
It’s 58 days to the likely date of the General Election (Thursday, 6 May 2010).
March 12th, 2010 at 10:24 am
Hi Roger- I’m sure you’re aware of these sites already, but if not you should visit UK Polling Report and Political Betting. Great commentary sites- including why you can have a tracker poll with a 3 pt lead and another with a 13 pt one!
A psephologist’s paradise!
Andy