Ever heard of the Dunning-Kruger effect?

The Dunning-Kruger effect is defined as “a cognitive bias in which low-ability individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly assessing their ability as much higher than it really is”. The phenomenon was first observed in a series of experiments by David Dunning and Justin Kruger of the department of psychology at Cornell University in 1999.

Policial commentators and social scientists are excited because they believe that they have found the most dramatic case of the Dunning-Kruger effect in the history of modern times. It is called Donald J Trump.


  • Alan Surtees

    Hello Roger
    It seems to me that Trump and his advisors are pushing all the same buttons that the Brexiteers were pressing a few months ago…. and they won the day! I’m sure you’ve said it in your blogs in the past, but it’s worth repeating that we shouldn’t overestimate the ability of the public to see through charlatans and snake-oil salesmen.
    Ergo, Trump has a very real chance of getting into the White House.

  • Roger Darlington

    The world is holding its a breath.


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