The news for Labour just gets blacker and blacker
November 30th, 2015 by Roger Darlington
“Here is the really bad news for Labour. It has nothing to do with Syria, which is unlikely to influence the outcome of the next general election. Nor is it to do with Europe, providing that we vote to stay in the EU, as now seems likely although far from certain. The bad news concerns the subject that always matters hugely at election time, and usually matters most: the economy.”
“… of the nine million people who voted Labour in May, around four million withhold their backing for Corbyn and McDonnell on the economy, saying they trust the Tories more, or trust neither party, or simply ‘don’t know’. Unless the great bulk of these doubters can be won over, Labour will not be able even to get back to nine million votes, let alone the 10-11 million it needs to become the largest party, or the 12 million-plus it needs to win outright.”
Who says this? The pollster YouGov as you can see in more detail here.
Posted in British current affairs | Comments (0)
A review of the new movie “Bridge Of Spies”
November 30th, 2015 by Roger Darlington
For a film with a quality script, acting and direction, currently it would be hard to beat “Bridge Of Spies” which I have reviewed here.
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments (0)
U.S. presidential election (14): who can stop Donald Trump?
November 29th, 2015 by Roger Darlington
Let us – especially non-Americans – remind ourselves of just a few of the gaffes and insults which have emanated from Donald Trump in his effort to become the Republican nominee for next year’s US presidential election.
As this article from today’s “Observer” newspaper puts it:
“First, there was the time he outraged prisoners of war by doubting the heroism of Vietnam veteran John McCain because he allowed himself to be captured. Then there was the first television debate, where he appeared to accuse Fox News moderator Megyn Kelly of asking him tough questions because she was menstruating.
As if PoWs, Fox News and women were not enemies enough, Trump has also accused Mexican immigrants to the US of being rapists, claimed that a Black Lives Matter protester who was violently ejected from a rally deserved to be “roughed up”, appeared to mock a New York Times journalist for his disability, falsely accused Muslim Americans of cheering on the 9/11 attackers, and agreed with suggestions that all such Muslims should have heir names tracked on a database.”
Yet, for four months in a row, Trump has topped the polls in assessments of the popularity of those seeking the Republican candidacy. Can he be stopped from wining the Republican crown or will the Democratic candidate have to beat him in the general election? Or could Trump become the elected leader of the global super power?
The “Observer” piece moots:
“In the battle for hearts and minds, converting Trump’s passionate supporters will be hard. To blunt his lead, another candidate would need to tap into his support base without jeopardising their own. Polling experts believe this to be unlikely, as it is hard to imagine anyone doing Trump better than Trump, let alone anyone doing Trump without sacrificing their own support.
A far more likely outcome is that Trump’s base remains solid but his relative lead slowly declines as voters coalesce around either Marco Rubio or Ted Cruz, leaving the real estate mogul from New York looking as forgotten as winners in these early states in past elections, from Pat Robertson in 1988 to Mike Huckabee in 2008.”
Posted in American current affairs | Comments (0)
A 60-second video guide to why the Paris climate summit is likely to succeed
November 28th, 2015 by Roger Darlington
At the UN 2015 Paris Climate Conference between 30 November and 11 December, governments of more than 190 nations will meet for a new global agreement on climate change. The world’s changed a lot since they last met in Copenhagen in 2009, when countries united – but didn’t seal the deal. From the rise of renewables to changing attitudes of big polluters like the US, here’s why this year’s deal could be better:
Posted in Environment | Comments (0)
The growing despair of a Labour loyalist
November 28th, 2015 by Roger Darlington
“… what enrages Corbyn’s critics most is not a doctrinal difference with the leader, but their assessment of the damage he is doing to the party. Their chief concern is over Labour’s prospects of ever again winning the trust of the British people and forming a government. And they want a Labour government very badly. In other words, they despair of Corbyn not because they are on the right, as the leader’s chorus would have you believe, but because they remain on the left.”
“… when MPs or other Labour voices condemn Corbyn and his team, their chief motive is not ideological disagreement. It is their hardening conviction that, with each daily misstep, the ruling circle is making Labour unelectable and turning the Tories’ lease on Downing Street into a freehold.”
“… something has to move. There is less time than some in Labour might like to think. The party’s reputation is declining with each passing day. Labour needs to rescue itself, not for its own sake – but for the sake of the country it once aspired to govern.”
These quotes, from an article in today’s “Guardian” newspaper by Jonathan Freedland, certainly reflect my growing despair as a Labour Party member of 46 continuous years. I was there when Harold Wilson was leader, I was there when Michael Foot was leader, I was there when Tony Blair was leader, but another shambolic week by the current Labour leadership lets down the millions and millions who need an effective Labour Opposition and then a credible Labour Government.
Posted in British current affairs | Comments (6)
How to win someone’s heart
November 27th, 2015 by Roger Darlington
It wasn’t my idea; it was the idea of someone who came across my web site and decided to use some of the material on my site in a most romantic manner. You can check out his approach here.
Posted in Miscellaneous | Comments (0)
The moment John McDonnell pulled out Mao’s “Little Red Book”
November 26th, 2015 by Roger Darlington
Can the performance of John McDonnell as Shadow Chancellor become any more embarrassing? View this clip and, like most of the Labour MPs in the Commons chamber, just cringe.
Before anyone takes any advice from Chairman Mao, it would be a good idea to read this biography of the ‘Great Helmsman”.
Posted in British current affairs, History | Comments (0)
Is Jeremy Corbyn good or bad for the Labour Party?
November 25th, 2015 by Roger Darlington
Well, it depends on your perspective and there is evidence to support both views. The most recent evidence is from two polls: a YouGov poll for the “Times” and a ComRes poll for the “Daily Mail”.
On the one hand, the first poll finds that 66% of those who were eligible to vote in this summer’s leadership election believe Corbyn is doing “well” as leader.
On the other hand, the second poll reveals that Labour is trailing the Tories by 11 points, by 29% to 40%.
So whether you think Corbyn is good for Labour depends on what you think is most important: appealing to Labour supporters or to the overall electorate.
Two things to bear in mind:
1) Labour supporters are a relatively small number – a few hundreds of thousands – compared to the population as a whole and are a self-defining group who became supporters because they believe in Labour’s values and Corbyn’s expression of them.
2) The electorate is a much much larger constituency of tens of million of people who are simply defined by their eligibility to vote, that is they are citizens over 18. Of course, whether they are registered to vote and whether they will actually vote are other matters.
Now, as we know, polls only tell us so much and can be wrong – but soon we will have accumulating hard evidence of Corbyn’s appeal or lack of it where it matters – that is, voters who will determine whether Labour wins the next General Election.
The first bit of electoral evidence will be the result of the by-election on 3 December in Oldham West and Royton. Then, in six months, we will have elections to the Scotland Parliament, the Welsh Assembly, lots of councils in England, and the mayoralty in London which will enable millions of voters to tell us what they think of the Labour Party and Jeremy Corbyn.
Posted in British current affairs | Comments (6)
What should be done about the starlings in Rome?
November 24th, 2015 by Roger Darlington
During a recent visit to Rome, I did a blog posting in which I mentioned seeing lots and lots of starlings flying overhead in wonderful formations.
But apparently these birds cause problems and the authorities are considering a number of ways of tackling the issue as explained here.
Posted in World current affairs | Comments (0)
Why do jihadis seem so evil?
November 23rd, 2015 by Roger Darlington
“There appears … to be something especially potent about Islam in fomenting terror and persecution. Contemporary radical Islam is the religious form through which a particular kind of barbarous rage expresses itself. So, to understand why jihadis have been drawn into a different moral universe that allows them to celebrate, brutally inhuman acts, we have to understand why political rage against the West takes such nihilistic, barbaric forms today; and why radical Islam has become the primary means through which to express such rage.”
This is an extract from an interesting article published this weekend in the “Observer” newspaper and online here.
Posted in World current affairs | Comments (0)