November 21st, 2017 by Roger Darlington
The electoral system in the German political system means that coalition governments are very common. The Social Democratic Party was in coalition with the Greens – the Red/Green coalition – from 1998-2005 and then, from 2005-2009, there was a ‘grand coalition’ between the Christian CDU/CSU and the SPD. Between 2009-2013, the CDU/CSU was in a coalition with the FDP. In the election of 2013, the FDP failed to win representation in the Bundestag, so Germany went back to a ‘grand coalition’.
Following the federal election of September 2017, the Social Democrats will not serve in a government, so the CDU/CSU will have to form a coalition with other smaller parties in order to secure a majority in the Bundestag. Negotiations have taken place over the past two months in an attempt – which has now failed – to form a “Jamaica alliance”, so-called because the colours of the three intended partners – the CDU/CSU, the FDP and the Greens – are the colours that make up the Jamaican flag. Another general election in early 2018 is now possible.
As this short comment piece in today’s “Guardian” concludes:
“Yet even if there were to be new elections in spring next year it is possible that Merkel could run again. Seventeen years after she took charge of Germany’s conservative party, there are still no credible candidates for a coup at the top, nor candidates with her blessing that look ready to take over the helm. For now, the only party in Germany calling on Merkel to go is the far-right Alternative für Deutschland. The end of Merkel may be closer than it has ever been. But when it comes, it will still be because she has decided to jump, rather than because she was pushed.”
If you would like to understand more about the German political system, you can read my short guide.
Posted in World current affairs | Comments (0)
November 20th, 2017 by Roger Darlington
As has recently been underlined by the Paradise Papers, the super-rich live in a world of their own, financially, geographically, and morally. An example of this is Monaco. This is one of the few European countries that I’ve never visited – it has nothing to interest me.
But it attracts the super-rich big time. Less than 38,000 people live in this city-state, but almost 35% of them are millionaires.
The problem is that there’s not enough space for all the super-rich who want to live in this tiny nation. So they are going to build out into the sea. You can read more about this project here.
Posted in World current affairs | Comments (0)
November 19th, 2017 by Roger Darlington
In 2013, the United Nations General Assembly officially designated 19 November as World Toilet Day. World Toilet Day is coordinated by UN-Water in collaboration with governments and partners.
World Toilet Day is about inspiring action to tackle the global sanitation crisis. Today, 4.5 billion people live without a household toilet that safely disposes of their waste
The Sustainable Development Goals, launched in 2015, include a target to ensure everyone has access to a safely-managed household toilet by 2030. This makes sanitation central to eradicating extreme poverty.
More information here.
Posted in World current affairs | Comments (0)
November 17th, 2017 by Roger Darlington
According to Credit Suisse’s latest annual global wealth report published earlier this week, the globe’s richest 1% now owns half the world’s wealth. The world’s richest people have seen their share of the globe’s total wealth increase from 42.5% at the height of the 2008 financial crisis to 50.1% in 2017, or $140tn (£106tn),
At the other end of the spectrum, the world’s 3.5 billion poorest adults each have assets of less than $10,000 (£7,600). Collectively these people, who account for 70% of the world’s working age population, account for just 2.7% of global wealth.
More information on the report here.
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November 16th, 2017 by Roger Darlington
Eagleman is an assistant professor of neuroscience at Baylor College of Medicine in Houston. A wonderful presenter, he created and wrote the fascinating six-part television series “The Brain” which was first aired on PBS in the United States in 2015 and subsequently shown (and reshown) on BBC in Britain (which is how I saw it). This book, issued to accompany the series, covers exactly the same ground in six chapters and, as you read it, you can hear Eagleman’s fluent and mellow tones.
What is the brain? Eagleman explains that an adult brain weighs three pounds (1.4 kilograms) and has the same number of cells as a child’s brain (in fact, a child of two has double the number of synapses of an adult prior to a process of neural “pruning”). He tells us that the typical brain has about 86 billion neurons and each neuron makes about 10,000 connections sending tens or hundreds of electrical pulses to thousands of other neurons every second. Consequently Eagleman estimates that the number of connections in the brain is around quadrillion (that is 1,000 billion). Twenty per cent of the calories we consume are used to power the brain which uses about the energy of a 60-watt light bulb. Since the brain has no pain receptors, a patient can be awake during brain surgery.
If there is one clear message from the series and the book, it is that the brain exhibits remarkable plasticity. People talk of the brain as hard-wired, but it is the opposite of that. So, over a period of weeks, participants in one study could cope with prism goggles that flip the left and right sides of vision. Eagleman describes some remarkable cases of people recovering from injury or operation and concludes: “The brain is fundamentally unlike the hardware in our digital computers. Instead, it’s ‘liveware’.” This plasticity has enabled the use of the cochlear implant to restore hearing or the retinal implant to restore sight and is behind the notion of sensory substitution where blind people can ‘see’ through pressure or sound.
Eagleman underlines that there is no objective reality out there, waiting to be accessed by all of us all of the time. Instead, even people with a full range of the five senses are only experiencing a version of the world created by the brain which is both very limited and very personal. Take the sense of sight. Visible light constitutes only a tiny fraction of the electromagnetic spectrum. Furthermore the brain constructs visual images based in large part of what it expects to see from previous viewing, so that “at any moment, what we experience as seeing relies less on the light streaming into our eyes, and more on what’s already inside our heads”. If the present is a variable ‘reality’, then the past is even more problematic: “Our past is not a faithful record. Instead it’s a reconstruction, and sometimes it can border on mythology.”
Neuroscientists are especially fascinated by people with special mental deficiences or proficiences caused by genetics or accidents and Eagleman quotes some amazing cases.
A young girl called Cameron Mott suffered so seriously from violent seizures as a result of a rare form of epilepsy that would eventually lead to her death, so a team of neurosurgeons removed an entire half of her brain and, except for some weakness on one side of her body, she encountered no problems because the remaining half of her brain dynamically rewired to take over the missing functions. Ten year old Austin Naber holds a world record for a sport known as cup stacking which involves transforming a stacked column of cups into a new symmetrical display in a matter of a few seconds while not actually thinking about it. Eagleman is especially interested in people who experience what is called synesthesia which is a condition in which senses are blended, so that for instance people taste words or see sounds as colours.
And we are only just beginning to understand how the brain works and why sometimes it does not (such as the growing problem of dementia). In the final chapter, Eagleman considers how we could augment our senses and extend our bodies and even speculates about whether we could one day free the brain from the body and upload our consciousness to a different platform or place. Mind-boggling stuff.
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November 15th, 2017 by Roger Darlington
I loved “Paddington” and – to my delight – I loved “Paddington 2” too.
Of course, we start with the adorable character created by Michael Bond (who died between the release of the two films), the brilliant CGI representation of our furry friend, and the purr-fect voicing by Ben Wishaw. This is such a British franchise with so very many British character actors (OK, and one Irish) and so many London locations, although this is the kind of gentle London that we saw in “Notting Hill” (most notably in the prison scenes). Indeed the villain this time is less threatening than Nicole Kidman’s character in the first film and played brilliantly by the ever-so-English star of “Notting Hill”, Hugh Grant, who – following his success in “Florence Foster Jenkins” – shows that he is not just a pretty face.
The film is endlessly inventive, not least in bringing to life a pop-up book of London landmarks which is at the heart of the plot, and it is stuffed full of visual gags as well as so many funny lines, a few aimed at adult viewers rather than little ones. My granddaughter (almost seven) found it thoroughly enjoyable with one of her favourite scenes being Paddington’s window-cleaning efforts. Be sure to stay for the credits – a final delight in 100 happy minutes.
Posted in Cultural issues | Comments (0)
November 14th, 2017 by Roger Darlington
Five behemoths bestride the Internet world. They are Amazon, Apple, Alphabet (owners of Google), Facebook and Microsoft – all American-owned and all simply enormous.
Do you have any idea what these companies are worth? Do you realise the reach of their operations? Do you think that governments and regulators need to do more to control these giants?
These are the questions that I’ve addressed in the latest of my series of columns on IT issues. You can read my short column here.
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November 12th, 2017 by Roger Darlington
“In February it will be four years since Russia’s president, Vladimir Putin, annexed Crimea and helped foment a rebellion in Ukraine’s industrial east. Since then about 10,000 people have died, including 3,000 civilians, and more than 1.7 million have been displaced. Aid agencies say that 4.4 million people have been directly affected by the continuing hostilities, while 3.8 million need urgent assistance. But the world has turned its gaze elsewhere.
The rise of Islamic State, and attendant atrocities in European cities, has seized centre stage in the preoccupations of the west. Moscow has focused on exerting influence in Syria’s bloody, endless civil war. The related migration wave sweeping southern Europe has generated a popular backlash that dominates the agenda of European politics.
Inexorably, the fate of the contested eastern rump of a former Soviet state has slipped down the order of priorities. In 2015, Kiev and Moscow signed the “Minsk agreement”, which stipulated a ceasefire and a special constitutional status for the rebel-held territories of the Donbass region, which would re-integrate into Ukraine and hold elections.
None of that has come into effect and the number of ceasefire violations runs into the thousands. And so a low-intensity conflict, squalid but deadly, has become the grinding everyday backdrop for a region that no longer sees a way out of its misery.”
This is an extract from an article in today’s Observer” newspaper.
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November 10th, 2017 by Roger Darlington
I saw the star-stunned 1974 film version of Agatha Christie’s famous 1934 novel, so I knew the outcome of the equally star-stunned 2017 remake, but I still found it an enjoyable ride through the snow. It has to be said that the plot is massively contrived and the whole thing sags somewhat in the middle, but the cast and direction make the work eminently watchable.
Heading the cast is Kenneth Branagh as the Belgian master detective Hercule Poirot and he is splendid in his clever deductions, while it is a special pleasure to see the return to the screen of Michelle Pfeiffer who is particularly good in a cast-list that also includes male stars Johnny Depp, Willem Dafoe & Derek Jacobi and female talent such as Judi Dench, Daisy Ridley & Penélope Cruz. The director is Branagh who offers us a flashy production with lots of soaring camerawork and plenty of colour and noise.
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November 9th, 2017 by Roger Darlington
Outside of the USA, the media focus on American elections is concentrated on the four-yearly event when Americans elect the president, the whole of the House of Representatives and a third of the Senate. There is some media interest in what are called the ‘mid-term’ elections when every two years voters again elect the whole of the House of Representatives and a different third of the Senate.
But, of course, in a very large, federal nation like the United States, there are always elections going on somewhere, most of them at state and county level but some of them with implications for the federal government. This week has been one of those times. And it’s been an excellent week for Democrats fighting back after Trump’s election to the White House a year ago and for diversity at a time when Trump and his allies are so bigoted and discriminatory.
Sone of the bigger victories are as follows:
- In Virginia, Democrat Ralph Northam beat Republican Ed Gillespie by nearly nine percent, the biggest margin of victory for Democrats in the state’s governorship election in decades.
- In New Jersey, Democrat Phil Murphy crushed Republican Chris Christie with a 14 percentage point lead.
- In New York City, incumbent Democrat mayor Bill de Blasio won re-election, taking 67% of the vote.
- In Boston, again the Democratic mayor; Marty Walsh, was returned with a good majority.
Furthermore, the elections brought a substantial number of firsts and near-firsts for racial and religious minorities, for the LGBT community and for far-left progressives.
You can check out 10 such victories here.
But Democrats did not win every contest on Tuesday night. For instance, a special election in Utah kept an open House of Representatives seat in Republican hands.
Meanwhile President Donald Trump, currently touring Asia, has a disapproval rating of 59%, the worst figure for any president at this point in his term since modern polling began and the worst mark for his term so far. Yet 81% of Republicans still approve of his performance.
So what happens now?
Democrats will be focused on the election to the House of Representatives in November 2018 and stand a reasonable chance of securing a majority – but there is a lot of hard work to do. As a consequence of gerrymandering, money in politics and voter suppression, Democrats will face plenty of challenges next year.
As far as the White House is concerned, I can’t see a ‘smoking gun’ appearing from investigations into the relationship between Trump and Russia and I can’t see a successful impeachment of Trump, but I could imagine him resigning either through scandal or frustration. The trouble is that he would be succeeded by Vice-President Mike Spence who is ideologically probably even worse than Trump. But at least we might have some basic competency in the Oval Office.
Posted in American current affairs | Comments (4)