Now it gets interesting …
It’s 66 days to the likely date of the General Election (Thursday, 6 May 2010) and the latest opinion poll – the Sunday Times/YouGov survey – shows the Conservatives just 2% ahead of Labour. As I blogged here, when we were 100 days from the election, the Tory lead was 11%.
As we near the election, there is more pressure on David Cameron to clarify exactly what his party stands for and what they would do differently besides instituting immediate and savage public expenditure cuts before we are even properly out of recession. Also, for the first time,we will have live televised debates with the party leaders which could be revealing and influential.
So it’s become really interesting and the prospect of a hung parliament becomes very real. In an earlier posting here, I speculated abut the possibility of two elections in a year. Then I thought that the first election would be won by the Conservatives, but now it seems that that there’s a prospect that it could even be Labour.
I suspect that it’s disillusioned former Labour voters who hold the key; whether they stay at home or come out and vote Labour in spite of their reservations will be decisive.