{"id":25746,"date":"2020-04-19T11:23:20","date_gmt":"2020-04-19T10:23:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.rogerdarlington.me.uk\/nighthawk\/?p=25746"},"modified":"2020-04-19T11:43:19","modified_gmt":"2020-04-19T10:43:19","slug":"it-is-now-clear-that-the-uk-is-not-going-to-achieve-a-good-result-in-the-coronavirus-crisis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.rogerdarlington.me.uk\/nighthawk\/?p=25746","title":{"rendered":"It is now clear that the UK is not going to achieve a &#8220;good result&#8221; in the coronavirus crisis"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In mid March, the British government\u2019s health advisers on the coronavirus crisis told Ministers:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The modelling suggests that,<em>&nbsp;without<\/em>&nbsp;severe social distancing and isolation practices, the death toll could be around&nbsp;<strong>260,000<\/strong>.<\/li><li>The modelling suggests that,&nbsp;<em>with<\/em>&nbsp;the current severe social distancing and isolation practices, the death toll could be around&nbsp;<strong>20,000<\/strong>&nbsp;or lower.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Days later, the UK went onto national lockdown and we are now four weeks into this lockdown period. We were assured, that if UK deaths from coronavirus could be kept below 20,000 by the end of the pandemic, it would be a \u201cgood result\u201d for the country. But the death toll in hospitals now exceeds 15,000 and, with an estimated 6,000 people having already died in care homes from Covid-19, the 20,000 figure is likely already to have been exceeded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is not the time to say what we should have done differently &#8211; but that time will have to come. Meanwhile we have to keep the death toll as low as possible and to acknowledge that the virus is not indiscriminate. Disproportionately, it affects older people, those with underlying heath issues, ethnic minorities, hospital workers caring for Covid-19 patients, and occupants and staff in care homes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Clapping each Thursday evening is good, but we need more personal protective equipment, more ventilators, more testing &#8211; and a vaccine. Soon.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In mid March, the British government\u2019s health advisers on the coronavirus crisis told Ministers: The modelling suggests that,&nbsp;without&nbsp;severe social distancing and isolation practices, the death toll could be around&nbsp;260,000. The modelling suggests that,&nbsp;with&nbsp;the current severe social distancing and isolation practices, the death toll could be around&nbsp;20,000&nbsp;or lower. Days later, the UK went onto national lockdown [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25746","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-british-current-affairs"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.rogerdarlington.me.uk\/nighthawk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25746","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.rogerdarlington.me.uk\/nighthawk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.rogerdarlington.me.uk\/nighthawk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.rogerdarlington.me.uk\/nighthawk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.rogerdarlington.me.uk\/nighthawk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=25746"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"http:\/\/www.rogerdarlington.me.uk\/nighthawk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25746\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25751,"href":"http:\/\/www.rogerdarlington.me.uk\/nighthawk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25746\/revisions\/25751"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.rogerdarlington.me.uk\/nighthawk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=25746"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.rogerdarlington.me.uk\/nighthawk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=25746"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.rogerdarlington.me.uk\/nighthawk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=25746"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}