Comments on: Is Barack Obama really going to lose the US presidential election?

By: Roger Darlington

Roger Darlington — Tue, 09 Oct 2012 20:59:42 +0000

David, I agree that constitutional reform is necessary to make the US political system more democratic and more functional, but it is virtually impossible to amend the constitution in current circumstances as I have expounded here.

By: David

David — Tue, 09 Oct 2012 19:13:08 +0000

In the 2000 elections, Al Gore won the popular vote, but George W. Bush was awarded the win in Florida, which gave him enough votes in the Electoral College to claim the Presidency.
The Electoral College system is obviously unfair, as it gives the voters in a few key states the role of determining the outcome of the election, and denies the voters of other states an equal voice.
I believe that only a Constitutional Amendment that adresses the issue of each state having different voter eligibility standards, and another Amendment eliminating the Electoral College, will give ALL US citizens an equal voice in choosing their leaders.
Of course, the politicians will not allow this.

By: Nick

Nick — Tue, 09 Oct 2012 11:28:14 +0000

On the recent Pew Research poll giving Romney a 4-point lead among likely voters: Oct. 8: A Great Poll for Romney, in Perspective.

By: Nick

Nick — Tue, 09 Oct 2012 11:09:36 +0000

Regarding the notion of a 'statistical tie', it's not true that if the difference between the predicted votes for two candidates is smaller than the margin of error of the poll, then it's a 50-50 chance as to who is ahead. See this article, and the table showing the probability that one candidate is ahead given the percentage lead and margin of error of the poll.