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August 31, 2008

The American presidential election (60)

Barack Obama has only one bigger fan here in London and that's Karin Robinson who leads the Obama in London campaign. You can read her latest comments on the candidate here.

The big difference between Karin and me is that as an American she actually has a vote. Of course, if the world citizenry was voting in this election, Obama would win by a landslide. This underlines two points:

1) This is an election with global consequences - the outcome will affect all nations and all citizens
2) One of the reasons why Obama is not walking the election is because most Americans do not have a world view of politics.

The last day of 'summer'

Officially it's the last day of summer but, here in London, we've had thunder, lightning and heavy rain. It's looks as if this August will turn out to have been the wettest in the UK for a century - but I still believe in global warning.

Spare a moment though to think about the victims of Hurricane Gustav. As I write, it's tearing into the western-most part of the island of Cuba which I visited on holiday earlier this year [my account here].

The day we almost died

How did we get here? We could have come from another planet; or God could have created the world in six days; or humankind could be the product of a long, slow, almost accidental process of evolution. I subscribe firmly to the last explanation. But how smooth and linear was that evolutionary process?

There's an article in today's "Observer" newspaper than mentions the view that around 70,000 years ago humankind was almost wiped out by the most powerful volcanic explosion in two million years.

This event occurred at Mount Toba in Sumatra which is why the theory is known as the Toba catastrophe theory. The idea was first put forward in 1998 by Stanley H. Ambrose. You can read more about it here.

So glad we made it guys!

August 29, 2008

The American presidential election (59)

The current presidential race in the United States is the most exciting of my lifetime which is why, with still two months to go, I've already blogged on it almost 60 times. The last 24 hours have been particularly exciting.

First, the Democratic National Convention in Denver ended its fourth and last day with an inspirational address from Barack Obama that apparently was watched by some 38 million Americans.

Then, on the day he became 72, Republican presumptive nominee John McCain stunned everyone by choosing as his running mate and the person who might be a heart beat away from the presidency Sarah Palin, the governor of Alaska.

One has to assume that this is a calculated attempt to win disaffected Hillary Clinton supporters to the Republican cause in the actual ballot, but Palin opposes a woman's right to choose abortion and her foreign policy inexperience totally undermines the charges that McCain has made of Obama's unreadiness for the White House.

So now we know that, whatever happens in the actual election, history will be made with either the first black President or the first woman Vice-President.

You can see, hear and read Obama's speech here.

Reasons to be cheerful

  1. Barack Obama has become the first African-American to be nominated a US presidential candidate by a major political party.
  2. In terms of gold medals won, Team GB achieved the best performance for the UK in the Beijing Olympics in any Games for a century.
  3. The summer is virtually over - here in London, it has been wet, overcast and miserable.

Reasons to be be fearful

  1. The President of Russia tells the world that he is ready for a new Cold War.
  2. Seven years after 9/11, Osama bin Laden is still at large.
  3. The credit crunch is taking the US and UK economies into recession.

Reasons to be tearful

  1. There is still no resolution of the conflict in Darfur.
  2. There is still no power-sharing agreement in Zimbabwe.
  3. We still don't what happened to little Madeleine McCann.

August 28, 2008

The American presidential election (58)

I know that I'm viewing (on CNN) the Democratic National Convention almost a day after the actual proceedings but I'm really enjoying seeing and hearing the key speeches in full. Day Three was wonderful stuff:

- the roll call of the state delegations with Hillary Clinton halting the process once it was clear that Barack Obama had the majority of the votes resulting in his selection by acclamation

- Bill Clinton who made a marvellous speech giving even stronger endorsement of Obama than his wife the evening before

- Joe Biden making a really effective attack on John McCain in a reworking and improvement of his Springfield address

- Barack Obama himself making a surprise last-minute appearance prior to his own speech on the Convention's last day

You can see and hear Biden's speech here and read it here.

August 27, 2008

The American presidential election (57)

I've now caught up with Day Two of the Democratic National Convention in Denver. The day's highlight was, of course, the speech of Senator Hillary Clinton which was preceded by a video and attended by her husband and daughter.

It was a powerful and eloquent address that gave as much support to Barack Obama as one could reasonably expect. I think that she was sincere, but she needs an incentive. If I was Barack Obama, I would promise that - if she and Bill are really seen to deliver for him in the general election - when he enters the White House she will be put in charge of health care reform to complete the task she started during her husband's presidency.

Meanwhile you can see and hear her speech here and read it here.

What were you doing when ...?

The Conservative blogger Iain Dale has started a meme which invites those other bloggers who've been tagged to explain what they were doing on five key dates. I have been tagged for this meme by former Labour MP Harry Barnes, so I guess I'll have to rise to the challenge - although I won't inflict the meme on any other bloggers.

In fact, in responding to this meme, I have a head start on most bloggers because, long before I had a blog, I had a diary and I have in fact recorded a daily entry for the past 47 years. So I can check the dates in the diaries. This is what I recall:

Princess Diana's death - 31 August 1997
It was a Sunday and Sunday morning for me always means the "Observer" newspaper - but at breakfast time it had still not been delivered. My wife called our newsagents and came to me in tears to announce that Diana was dead and all the newspapers were being reprinted. Immediately we switched on the television and found that all the broadcasting schedules had been taken over by the news throughout the day. That night, we watched a 75 minute tribute to Diana on ITV without any advertisements. I wrote in my diary: "The media killed her and now she will become an icon like Marilyn Monroe". But I did not anticipate - or even fully understand - the scale and intensity of the emotion that we then saw between the death and the funeral.

Margaret Thatcher's resignation - 22 November 1990
I was in Strasbourg on a delegation to the European Parliament as Policy Officer of the trade union for which I then worked the National Communications Union (now the Communication Workers Union). After attending a meeting of the Socialist Group in the Parliament, we were addressed by three different Labour Party Euro MPs. In the course of these briefings, the Dutch official with the Socialist Group who was looking after us slipped into the room to announce that Thatcher had resigned. I wrote in my diary: "This was a sensation and for a time it was hard to concentrate on the meeting". After I had flown back to London that evening, at home I watched an extended BBC news on Thatcher's resignation announcement. I wrote: "It was all very exciting". As a committed Labour voter, I was pleased to see her go - but her tears as she drove from No 10 could not fail to move one.


Attack on the twin towers - 11 September 2001
Of course, this is the date I remember most vividly and most painfully. I was at the Trades Union Congress in Brighton as part of the delegation of the union for which I then worked, the Communication Workers Union. The Congress had started the previous day and that afternoon the Prime Minister Tony Blair was going to make a controversial address to the Congress on the private funding of public services. As I sat on the floor of the conference centre that afternoon, a delegate told me that a light aircraft had accidentally flown into one of the Twin Towers. However, it soon became clear that something much, much more serious was going on. When Tony Blair spoke, he abandoned his intended subject, spoke gravely about the attack on America, and left immediately for Downing Street. Then I left the hall to visit the AEEU stall to watch the BBC's News 24. I saw incredible film of the South Tower collapsing; then later I saw shots of the North Tower collapsing; next I saw the Pentagon on fire. I could barely believe what I was seeing. Congress was suspended. Back in my hotel room, I watched a lot more news. I recorded in my diary that "the events in America are outside all our experience" and "my jaw literally dropped at the awful scenes". It was clear that the world had changed for ever.

England's World Cup Semi Final v Germany - 4 July 1990
I did record England's defeat in my diary, but I have less interest in football (or indeed sport generally) than almost any man I know - so the event made little impression. I understand that Gazza was in tears. I believe that he's had few more problems since then.

President Kennedy's Assassination - 22 November 1963
I am actually old enough to remember this. I was 15 at the time and living at home in Manchester. I heard the news on the radio in the kitchen and I knew at once that it was both tragic and important. I did mention it in my "Lett's Schoolboy's Diary" - but I also recorded that the Beatles were at Number One in the charts again and had three EPs in the Top 30.

August 26, 2008

The American presidential election (56)

I'm watching as much of the Democratic National Convention as I can on CNN. There were two massive highlights in Monday's session.

First, Caroline Kennedy - daughter of JFK - introduced Senator Edward Kennedy, there was a video on the Senator, and then - in spite of his brain cancer - he made an emotional appearance and contributed an impassioned speech in support of Barack Obama.

Second, there was a video on Michelle Obama narrated by her mother before her older, even taller, brother introduced her. I thought that Michelle speech's was outstanding - she really connected with people, made an utterly convincing case for her husband and spoke with immense confidence and fluency. But I know that many Americans will need more convincing that me.

You can see and hear her speech here and read it here.

Who won the Olympics?

We all know that the host nation China won the largest number of gold medals (51) which, in the official ranking, puts them top. But, if you count all the medals, then the USA leads with 110.

But, suppose you didn't count all the medals equally. Say you gave three points for a gold, two for a silver, and one for a bronze. Sounds reasonable. And, suppose you took into account population size. Seems fair.

On this calculation, China - the official winner - only comes 65th. Great Britain - officially fourth - comes 22nd. Sorry, guys.

Which country do you think would be top then? You'll never guess - but you can check it out here.

August 25, 2008

Pictures of the Baltics

Just over a week ago, I returned from a short holiday in Estonia, Latvia and Lithuanian and I quickly wrote up an account for my web site.

Over the Bank Holiday Monday that we had in the UK today, I have added 52 photos to my account (I took just over 200 in all).

Check out the account and photos here.

August 24, 2008

From Beijing to London

The Olympic flag has now passed from Beijing which hosted this year's Games to London which will be the host in 2012 and today there have been a number of events to mark the occasion. One was 4.45 pm fly past over Buckingham Palace by the Royal Air Force's Red Arrows display team - always an exhilarating sight - and I just managed to catch a view of them as they wheeled north.

The last Olympic Games in London were held in the year of my birth. When they return to London in 2012, I will be 64. I feel a Beatles song coming on ...

The American presidential election (55)

"The Democrats are starting to struggle in a presidential race which they should be dominating. America is beset by economic troubles, mired in an unpopular foreign war and facing an unpopular Republican party. A stunning 80 per cent of Americans think that the country is heading in the wrong direction. Yet Obama and McCain are virtually tied in the polls. The possible explanations are multiple. The Democratic campaign is being daily assaulted by withering Republican attack ads. At the same time, there are still deep scars in the party left by the ferocious battle between Obama and Senator Hillary Clinton. And then there is the issue of race."
In an article titled "Why has Obama stalled?" a British newspaper - the "Observer" - dares to explore the four-letter word that so much of the Ameican media leaves unspoken.

August 23, 2008

The American presidential election (54)

So Barack Obama has chosen his Vice-Presidential running mate just days before the Democratic National Convention opens in Denver.

The choice - Senator Joe Biden - is seen as balancing the ticket, mainly in terms of bringing strong knowledge of foreign affairs, although his older age and Roman Catholic affiliation are also viewed as complementary to Obama's attributes.

The news was too late for the British morning newspapers, but the "New York Times" covered it in this way.

August 22, 2008

Putting our stamp on the Olympic Games

This is a fun idea.

Do you faff around?

New research reveals that the vast majority of Brits (80 per cent) admit to wasting time everyday. Just under half estimate they ‘faff around’ for as much as 2-3 hours a day. Waiting around for the kids, colleagues and queuing top the list of how Brits waste their time

New research into how the average Brit spends their time, by the Learning and Skills Council to celebrate Skills and Apprenticeships, reveals the huge amount of time, an average of 40 days a year, which is wasted by Brits as they live up to their reputation as the world’s greatest faffers.

Further information here.

August 21, 2008

The American presidential election (53)

Things have been quieter in the race while Barack Obama was in Hawaii - and I was in the Baltic States (!). Now we await announcements on the Vice-Presidential running mates and the respective party conventions. In the meanwhile, polls suggest a tightening of the race to a current neck and neck position.

Obama ought to be doing better and I would certainly like him to have a clearer lead. The debates between the candidates may open things up.

However, polls only tell us how people would vote if they are eligible to vote and actually do so. Obama has an impression organisation on the ground in all 50 states that could mean his actual support in the ballot boxes could be stronger than the polls are suggesting. Let's hope so.

August 19, 2008

Happy people dancing on planet Earth

Check out this video and. if you don't smile, you're not from this planet.

Once you've viewed the video, you might want to know about the guy who made it and how he did it - info here.

August 18, 2008

The first sign of Christmas

This morning, the post brought us our first Christmas catalogue - the price of ordering and sending charity Christmas cards each year. The organisation concerned is Amnesty International - an immensely worthy body, but one that I would rather waited a while before encouraging us to order things for the Christmas season. After all, it is still 129 days to Christmas.

Why Team GB?

I'm afraid that I have very little interest in sport, but even I could not fail to be impressed by the spectacular opening ceremony in Beijing and the outstanding success of the British athletes over the weekend.

Buy why are our Olympic competitors called Team GB? Do we have no athletes from Northern Ireland? Are the initials a reference to our Prime Minister? I'm sure that one of NightHawk's many readers can shed light on this for us.

August 17, 2008

What does it mean to be Russian?

This week I have felt the pain of the people of Georgia even more than I would have done last week. This is because I have spent the past week in the Baltic States and two of them - Estonia and Latvia - have substantial Russian minority populations. Many of the local people with whom we spoke were anxious and despondent about what the events in Georgia could mean for them.

If Russia is going to take the view that it can act militarily to defend the interests of people who define themselves as Russian, then the independence of many former Soviet Republics is gravely threatened. This is brought out clearly in an article by Rafael Behr in this week's week "Observer" newspaper.

On her father's side, my wife's family is Czech. We remember 1938 when the Nazis took over vast swathes of then Czechoslovakia on the grounds that they were defending the Sudeten Germans. We remember 1968 when Warsaw Pact forces invaded Czechoslovakia on the grounds that Dubceck's 'Communism with a human face' was counter-revolutionary.

August 16, 2008

Back from the Baltics

I'm just back from a six-day break with my sister Silvia. It was a short holiday in the Baltic States visiting Tallinn in Estonia, Riga in Latvia and Vilnius in Lithuania. This brings the total number of countries that I have visited to 52 - you can find the full list here.

I'll be writing up a full account of the Baltics trip here - but first I have to check out those 525 e-mails (much spam and scam no doubt) that have arrived in my absence.

August 08, 2008

The Night Hawk has flown

There'll be no postings on this blog for a week or so, since I'm off now on a short holiday in the Baltic States visiting Tallinn in Estonia, Riga in Latvia and Vilnius in Lithuania.

I'll write up an account for my web site on my return. Meanwhile please look through earlier postings on this blog and feel free to look around my comprehensive web site.

Barack's books

For my 60th birthday, I received lots of books. I started by reading the two written by the Democratic candidate for the White House Barack Obama: "Dreams Of My Father" [my review here] and, the one I have just finished, "The Audacity Of Hope" [my review here].

I have been blogging about Barack Obama for more than four years - see this posting. When he ran for the Senate, I did 11 postings; in his race to be President, I've already done 53 postings.

Truly I think this man is remarkable and his books only confirm my faith in him. In his second book, he captures what people feel about him when he writes:

"And sometimes someone will grab my hand and tell me that they have great hopes for me, but that they are worried that Washington is going to change me and I will end up just like all the rest of the people in power. Please stay who you are, they will say to me. Please don't disappoint us."
Please don't disappoint me.

August 07, 2008

Should there be a windfall tax on the energy companies?

The pressure group Compass is is campaigning for such a windfall tax and has set out its case here.

10 years of al Qaeda

Although the terrorist group al Qaeda was probably established in 1988, the organisation came to the world's attention exactly 10 years ago today with the bombing of the American embassies in the East African capital cities of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania and Nairobi, Kenya.

The decade since then has been a bloody one, in terms of al-Qaeda itself never more so that the Twin Towers attacks of 11 September 2001. Meanwhile, of course, the organisation's leader Osama bin Laden remains at large.

August 05, 2008

Why are oil prices rising so fast? (5)

On 23 June, the BBC carried a report on its web site which stated:

"Despite an emerging global consensus that oil prices are dangerously high, there seems little chance of the cost of oil falling significantly in the near future."

On the very same day, I carried a posting on this blog which stated:
"If the cause is not rising demand but more probably panic and speculation, then we can expect that sometime in the future prices will fall back, although probably not to the level before the current crisis took hold."

So what happened? Today there is a report from the BBC which explains that:
"Oil prices touched three-month lows of $118 a barrel on Tuesday amid signs of rising supplies and slowing demand."

Labour troubles in South Korea

About ten days ago, the South Korean government issued arrest warrants for the leaders of the country's trade union movement. Among those named were the President, Vice President and General Secretary of the Korean Confederation of Trade Unions (KCTU), as well as leaders of affiliated unions. The KCTU Vice President was arrested by police and she is now being held at the Youngdeungpo Police Station. The others are still at large. Police have encircled the union headquarters in Seoul.

The “crime” these trade union leaders are accused of committing is this: in early July, they called for a general strike. The South Korean government, in defiance of universally recognized human rights standards (including ILO conventions), has decided that this strike was illegal.

The KCTU has asked us all to take a moment and send off a strong message of protest to the South Korean government. The web site LabourStart has launched a major new online campaign to do precisely that. Please go here now to send off your message.

August 04, 2008

It's come to this

As I returned home from a meeting in central London today, I found that my local underground station of Sudbury Hill had something unusual positioned at the ticket barriers. There were several policemen selecting young men to go through a metal detector to see if knives were being carried.

I guess this is a sensible measure in view of the number of knife killings in the capital in recent months - but it is really sad that our society has reached this stage.

The American presidential election (53)

The presumptive Democratic candidate in the US Presidential race Barack Obama is 47 today. Hopefully, he will celebrate his next eight birthdays in the White House.

His Republican opponent John McCain will be 72 on 29 August. Hopefully, he will celebrate many more birthdays in the Senate.

August 02, 2008

How do you spend your Saturday?

For the last three consecutive Saturdays, I've started the day in a city centre hotel giving a short speech to consumers selected by Ipsos MORI for a deliberative research project on behalf of Postwatch, the consumer watchdog for postal services. Two weeks ago, it was Edinburgh; last week, it was Sheffield; today it is London.

And next Saturday? No work this time. I'll be in Talinn in Estonia on the first leg of a three-centre break which will then take me to Riga in Latvia and Vilnius in Lithuania. I might check out the odd post box!

August 01, 2008

100 months to save the planet

According to a new campaign launched by the New Economics Foundation in the UK, in just 100 months' time we could reach a tipping point in terms of climate change whereby we reach a concentration of greenhouse gases at which it is no longer "likely" that the world will stay below the 2C temperature rise threshold after which climate change could become irreversible.

You can read the case for this claim here and you can check out the campaign web site here.

What do you believe?

Almost everyone I know believes something that at best I feel has no credible evidence to support it and at worst I feel is absolutely crackers. What sort of beliefs am i thinking of? Well, here are 10 things that a proportion of UK adults said that they believed for a survey to mark the arrival of the new "X Files" film:

. 1 Area 51 exists to investigate aliens (48%)

· 2 9/11 was orchestrated by the US government (38%)

· 3 Apollo landing was a hoax (35%)

· 4 Diana and Dodi were murdered (32%)

· 5 The Illuminati secret society and masons are trying to take over the world (25%)

· 6 Scientologists rule Hollywood (17% )

· 7 Barcodes are really intended to control people (7%)

· 8 Microsoft sends messages via Wingdings (6%)

· 9 US let Pearl Harbour happen (5%)

· 10 The world is run by dinosaur-like reptiles (3%)

But does it matter what people believe? Does truth really matter? I think it does for the reasons that I have spelled out here.