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April 30, 2008

Forgotten World (128): Libya

The standing of Libya in the international community has been transformed in recent years. Once shunned by much of the world over the 1988 bombing of a PanAm plane above the Scottish town of Lockerbie, the country formally took responsibility for the incident in 2003. This move, part of a deal to compensate families of the 270 victims, heralded the lifting of UN sanctions. Months later, Libya renounced weapons of mass destruction, paving the way for a further blossoming of relations with the West.

Since the king was overthrown in a coup in 1969, Libya has been led by the idiosyncratic Colonel Muammar Gaddafi. He introduced a new political system called jamahiriya, loosely translated as a "state of the masses", in which in theory power is held by various people's committees, while in practice Gaddafi rules over 6.2 million unopposed.

The Libyan economy depends primarily upon revenues from the oil sector, which constitute practically all export earnings and about one-quarter of gross domestic product. These oil revenues and a small population give Libya one of the highest GDPs per person in Africa and have allowed the Libyan state to provide an extensive and impressive level of social security, particularly in the fields of housing and education.

The American presidential election (31)

If - like me - you are a non-American following the primary elections in the USA, you have to learn a lot of new terminology. In the current stage of the race, two terms are of particular strangeness.

One term is "a Hoosier" This is a word used to describe a resident of the state of Indiana - which votes next - but nobody is sure of the origin of the term. More information here.

Another term is "a NASCAR voter". This is a reference to the kind of white, male, working class voter than Obama is finding hard to reach and the term comes from the National Association for Stock Car Auto Racing - web site here - which these voters are assumed to support.

April 29, 2008

Forgotten World (127): Venezuela

Venezuela is a South American country of 28 million that is very much a nation of contrasts and controversy. It has some of the world's largest proven oil deposits as well as huge quantities of coal, iron ore, bauxite and gold. Yet most Venezuelans live in poverty, many of them in shanty towns, some of which sprawl over the hillsides around the capital, Caracas. Unemployment is high and, according to official figures, around 60% of households are poor.

In 1998 Venezuelans broke the stranglehold of the discredited party system to elect the populist left-winger Hugo Chavez, a former army officer who has proclaimed a "Bolivarian revolution", named after South America's independence hero. Radical reform, political unrest and deep divisions have characterised the president's term in office. His supporters - known as "chavistas" - and his detractors have staged street protests.

Now in in his third term of office and ruling by decree, Chavez suffered his first electoral defeat in December 2007 when voters in a referendum narrowly rejected proposals to extend his powers and accelerate his socialist revolution.

April 28, 2008

How not to choose a new logo

I'll be spending all day tomorrow at this month's meeting of the Board of the New National Consumer Council. One of the issues we will be discussing is a new name and logo for the organisation.

Today we had a wonderful example of how not to choose a new logo.

The American presidential election (30)

So Barack Obama did not manage to knock out Hillary Clinnton in last week's Democratic primary in Pennsylvania. On the contrary, Clinton ran a very negative campaign which has done some real damage to the Obama cause and could weaken his position in relation to the contest against John McCain when Obama wins the Democratic nomination (as he will).

This week's edition of "Time" magazine has a cover with pictures of half the faces of Obama and Clinton with the announcement: "There can only be one". In an interesting article, Joe Klein notes:

"In his 1991 book, The Reasoning Voter, political scientist Samuel Popkin argued that most people make their choice on the basis of "low-information signaling" — that is, stupid things like whether you know how to roll a bowling ball or wear an American-flag pin."
He adds:
"The audacity of the Obama campaign was the belief that in a time of trouble — as opposed to the peace and prosperity of the late 20th century — the low-information politics of the past could be tossed aside in favor of a high-minded, if deliberately vague, appeal to the nation's need to finally address some huge problems. But that assumption hit a wall in Pennsylvania."
And Klein concludes his piece:
"But the presidency will not be won if he [Obama] doesn't learn that the only way to reach the high-minded conversation he wants, and the country badly needs, is to figure out how to maneuver his way through the gutter."
In his column in today's "Guardian" newspaper, Gary Younge - a black man writing about the election prospects of Obama, another black man - puts the situation more bluntly:
"Unable to beat Obama on delegates and still unlikely to beat him in the popular vote, Hillary Clinton has just one strategy left - to persuade superdelegates that Obama is unelectable. She has tried branding him as inexperienced and slick-tongued, and neither of those have worked. At this stage she has just one argument left: his race. For several months now, her aides have been whispering to whoever would listen that America would never elect a black candidate. In desperation, some are now raising their voices."
He is right - and it is despicable.

Forgotten World (126): Liechtenstein

It's time for another week of postings in my long-running series called Forgotten World - a look at parts of the world that hardly feature in our media or thoughts. You can check the previous 125 entries here.

The Principality of Liechtenstein is one of the most bizarre and disturbing features of the European landscape. It is a tiny, landlocked country tucked away between Switzerland and Austria with mountain slopes rising above the Rhine valley. The geographical area is only 160 sq km (61.8 sq miles) and the population a mere 35,100. Liechtenstein is Europe's only absolute monarchy with Prince Hans-Adam having the power to hire and fire the government.

Much of the country's wealth is based on its status as a low tax haven. Around 75,000 companies have their nominal "letter box" offices in Liechtenstein where business tax rates are very favourable. This status came under the spotlight in 2000 when two international reports criticised Liechtenstein for lax financial controls. The reports said that the Liechtenstein banking system enabled gangs from Russia, Italy and Colombia to launder money from their criminal activities. Stung by the criticism, Liechtenstein reformed its laws, so that customers opening bank accounts may now no longer remain anonymous.

However, in 2007 Liechtenstein remained on the blacklist of uncooperative tax havens maintained by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Early in 2008, the country attacked the authorities in Berlin for buying information on German businessmen clients that have bank accounts in the principality. Germany has launched a tax evasion investigation using the data which was supplied by an anonymous informant who was reportedly paid 5m Euros (£3.75m; $7.3m).

April 27, 2008

Weekend in Winchester

Vee and I have spent the weekend visiting my (much younger) half brother Chris (a Treasury official) and his partner Janine (a Spanish language teacher). They live in a village called South Wonton just north of the historic city of Winchester.

On Saturday afternoon, we drove through the New Forest and down to the south coast where we took a ferry from Keyhaven out to Hurst Castle, a fortification first built at the time of King Henry VIII. We walked back along a mile and a half long shingle spit from which one can see the Isle of Wight and the Needles. This created an appetite for dinner which we had at the unusually named restaurant "The Half Moon & Spread Eagle" in Micheldever which is under new management .

This morning we travelled over to a place called intech which is a space centre and planetarium on the outskirts of Winchester. The planetarium only opened a few weeks ago and it is the country's largest. We were able to view two presentations at the planetarium: one on the solar system and one on black holes.

Next we went into Winchester. First we called into something called the Winchester Discovery Centre which is a complete reinvention of the idea of a library. Finally we had lunch at an outlet of the "Prezzo" chain where every member of staff - including the chef - was Polish.

Except for first thing this morning, the weather stayed fine and sunny and it was a really good trip. Thanks Chris and Janine!

April 26, 2008

Do you like a thrill?

If so, you might like to try this.

Me? I couldn't do it. When my son was eight (that's 24 years ago), I took him on Space Mountain at Disneyworld in Florida. I'm still recovering ...

April 25, 2008

Life can be a pain

For several months now, I've had a recurrent and persistent pain in my right shoulder.

Usually with pains and other ailments, I take the view that they will either get better (in which case fine) or they will get worse (in which case I'll go to the doctor) - and fortunately, in the vast majority of cases, things sort themselves out. In this case though, while the situation did not get worse, it did not get better either.

So this morning, I did finally go to the doctor. He quickly came to a diagnosis. Apparently it's something called cervical spondylosis. No cure, no treatment, but not serious or threatening - just painful. I suppose I am 60 in a couple of months ...

April 24, 2008

Walk To Work Day

This morning, it took me an incredible 2 hours 20 minutes to reach my meeting at Post Office Headquarters in central London where, as the Chairman of Postwatch Greater London, I was putting the case for the withdrawal of certain proposed post office closures.

I was doing fine until I reached Baker Street underground station. Then we had to leave the train because of a signal failure at Moorgate. I was trying to find another tube route to my destination at Old Street when there was an emergency evacuation of Baker Street station.

There were masses of passengers milling around and walking off and there was simply no way that I could find a free taxi in the vicinity. In the end, I walked all the way to Kings Cross before I was able to find a taxi which then inched its way through congested streets.

As soon as I encountered trouble on the London Underground - one of the occasional joys of living and working in the capital - I used my IPhone to connect to the Net and access the web site of Transport for London. I found that today is 'Walk To Work Day'. What an irony!

April 23, 2008

10p or not 10p? - that is the question

After weeks of controversy, the Government has today announced that there will be a compensation package to deal with the effects of the abolition of the 10p tax rate on certain low income groups.The compensation deal will be unveiled in the autumn and backdated to April. As a result, Labour MP Frank Field has withdrawn his amendment - due to be voted upon on Monday - backed by 46 Labour MPs calling for compensation.

The question which I find myself asking is: why were the effects of this tax change not appreciated at the time it was announced a year ago, instead of only after the tax change was actually implemented? Indeed why didn't the Treasury comprehend the impact before the Chancellor announced the decision? Surely the first thing Treasury officials do when a Minister looks at a tax change is to assess who will gain, who will lose, and by how much. Perhaps officials did advise Ministers and the advice was ignored.

The truth is that Frank Field - whom I first met before he was an MP and when he headed the Child Poverty Action Group - immediately recognised the impact and tried to draw attention to it - but nobody (including the then Chancellor and now Prime Minister and the media) was listening. There's a lesson for us all here: don't rubbish a message because you don't like the message or the messenger; only oppose a message if it is wrong and you are sure it is wrong and, if you're not sure, check the situation with an open mind..

April 22, 2008

Is religion a threat to rationality?

There's a debate tonight at the British Council on this theme between Professor Daniel Dennett and Lord Robert Winston.

Dennett writes:

"This imperviousness to reason is, I think, the property that we should most fear in religion. Other institutions or traditions may encourage a certain amount of irrationality - think of the wild abandon that is often appreciated in sports or art - but only religion demands it as a sacred duty."

Winston writes:

"Religion is built into human consciousness and there is plentiful evidence of it being a cohesive force. Apart from the survival of our prehistoric ancestors, in recent times there are powerful examples of how a notion of the transcendental has spurred humans on in desperate situations."

You can read a summary of their respective positions here.

I confess that I'm a Dennett man as will be very evident from this essay.

Would you borrow a 'book' from a Living Library?

I would - and I'd happily be a 'book'.

I know - you have no idea what I'm on about. You can read about the idea here.

The truth is that everyone has a story to tell. I often ask people about their story without them knowing I'm doing so.

I do this with cab drivers and waitresses, people I meet at conference and courses, people I come across at parties and on holiday ....

April 21, 2008

The American presidential election (28)

On the eve of the Pennsylvania Democratic primary when we might see the Democratic field reduced to one, spare a thought for one-time contender John Edwards. In a normal set of primaries - that is, when there was not the chance to choose the first woman President or the first black President - Edwards might have been expected to do much better than he in fact did. He has an excellent programme and still has a lot to contribute to US politics.

Of course, his wife's renewed battle with cancer didn't help his campaign and might well have been a factor in his early withdrawal. The "Mirror" newspaper today has an exclusive interview with John Edwards and his wife Elizabeth. He reminds us that, in the richest nation on earth, 37 million Americans live below the poverty line.

April 20, 2008

An evening with James Randi

Last night, together with friends Eric, Andy, Nick and Toni, I was at a fascinating and fun event at the Conway Hall in London organised by "The Skeptic magazine" and Skeptics in the Pub. There were six interesting speakers:


  1. Professor Richard Wiseman of the University of Hertford [biog here]

    Incredibly funny and witty, he hosted the evening and entertained us with some of his magic tricks which encouraged us to think of issues like perception and deception.

    Professor Chris French of the University of London [biog here]

    He outlined the sceptic scene in the UK and made a number of references to the problem of false memories.

  2. Dr Simon Singh, an author and television producer [biog here]

    He has just co-authored a book on complementary medicine called "Trick Or Treatment?" and described the astonishing popularity of so-called alternative medicine.

  3. Dr Ben Goldacre, a writer, broadcaster and medical doctor [biog here]

    He argued that the real story is often more compelling than the falsehood and instanced the remarkable power of the placebo effect which we need to understand better.

  4. Dr Susan Blackmore, a writer, lecturer and broadcaster [biog here]

    She confessed very honestly to many years of being a believer in psychic phenomena and outlined her academic attempts - all failures - to prove that psychics could produce results which were outside the range of mere chance.

  5. James Randi, Canadian sceptic and magician [biog here]

    This diminutive, elderly man with a huge white beard was the highlight of the evening and described as "the most famous sceptic in the world". He illustrated the methods he uses to expose charlatans by showing two video clips.

    The first exposed the fakery of the so-called faith healer Peter Popoff in a clip similar to this one:




    The second was his exposure of the 'operations' conducted in the Philippines by psychic healers without conventional surgical techniques. He used a clip from which this is an extract (the full clip was more stomach-churning):



    Randi made the chilling point that, however often these falsehoods are exposed, many people still believe them. He called the fakeries "unsinkable rubber ducks" and insisted "people just will not listen". At this meeting anyway, some 300 were listening to every word.

April 19, 2008

The American presidential election (27)

As I blogged in this posting two weeks ago, the Democratic primary in Pennsylvania on Tuesday could be the knock-out blow for Hillary Clinton - and I hope that it is because I want the Democrats to get behind Barack Obama for a victory over John McCain in the general election.

The general view - as reflected in this article - is that Clinton needs to beat Obama by more than 10% of the vote to head off calls from senior Democrats to withdraw - and I don't think she will.

Obama leads Clinton in the overall delegate count by 1,645 to 1,504. Clinton has a slight edge in super delegates, with 248 backing her compared with 226 for Obama but, since 3 March, he has gained 80 and she has added only five.

Footnote: On CNN, I saw someone introducing Obama at a rally who managed to refer to the terrorist as Obama bin Laden and, according to an AP/Yahoo News poll published yesterday, 15% of the electorate think Obama is a Muslim. Dooh!

April 18, 2008

A tip on tipping

Increasingly, in restaurants I try to tip the waiter or waitress in cash even though i usually pay the bill by credit card.

Why? Because of practices like these.

Five years blogging

Today is the fifth anniversary of my life as a blogger.

This was my first posting. Since then, there have been almost 2,000 more on this personal blog - and lots more on my professional blog.

NightHawk has changed my life - but has my blog changed yours?

April 17, 2008

Randy Pausch's last lecture

Randy Pausch is a Professor of Computer Science, Human-Computer Interaction, and Design at Carnegie Mellon University (CMU) in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States. In September 2006, Pausch was diagnosed with metastatic pancreatic cancer. He pursued a very aggressive cancer treatment that included major surgery and experimental chemotherapy; however, in August 2007, he was told the cancer had metastasized to his liver and spleen and given months to live.

Pausch delivered his 'Last Lecture', entitled "Really Achieving Your Childhood Dreams," at CMU on 18 September 2007. This talk was modelled after an ongoing series of lectures where top academics are asked to think deeply about what matters to them and then give a hypothetical "final talk" i.e., "what wisdom would you try to impart to the world if you knew it was your last chance?" It has had a great deal of publicity and impact in the USA.

You can see a video of the 10 minute lecture here.

Actually Pausch is still alive and still fighting his cancer and you can read his up-dates here.

April 16, 2008

The gas men cometh ... and cometh again ... and again ... and again

The two holes were filled today.

April 15, 2008

The gas men cometh ... and cometh again ... and again

OK - so now we have our gas supply back on. But we still have two big holes that have to be filled.

The gas men cometh ... and cometh again

In the middle of last week, we smelt gas outside the front door so we called National Grid Gas. In no time, a guy was here and confirmed that there was a leak. Very soon, three other guys were at the house and digging up the pavement outside our front garden. Next day, we were told that the leak was solved - but, for some reason, the hole had to remain unfilled for a few days.

Over the weekend, we could still smell gas. So we called again yesterday. Again a guy was round in no time. Again he confirmed a leak. Two more guys were round quickly. This time a new hole was dug just outside our front door and a new gas meter was installed on the wall at the front of the house in the porch area.

Meanwhile the gas supply has been cut off and we have been loaned a couple of fan heaters to keep warm and an electric hot plate to cook food. Some more installation work needs to be done before the gas can be reconnected. The front of the house looks a mess and the meter box is pretty obtrusive - but I guess it's better than being blown up.

Now - how about filling those two holes?

April 14, 2008

The American presidential election (26)

As this analysis makes clear, on every measure Barack Obama is way ahead of Hillary Clinton in terms of the impact of the candidate's campaign on the Internet.

Is Tibet really Chinese?

As the protests continue with the passage of the Olympic torch from one city to another, people around the world are wondering anew about the status of Tibet. It is currently a province in China, but this situation is hugely controversial.

The Government of Tibet in exile contends that Tibet was a distinct and independent nation before its conquest by the Yuan Dynasty 700 years ago, as well as between the fall of the Yuan Dynasty in 1368 and Tibet's incorporation into the Qing Dynasty in 1720, and again between the fall of the Qing Dynasty in 1912 and incorporation into the People's Republic of China in 1951.

In 1950, the People's Liberation Army entered Tibet, crushing the Tibetan army. During the Cultural Revolution, Red Guards inflicted a campaign of organised vandalism against the cultural sites of Tibet's Buddhist heritage. Of the several thousand monasteries in Tibet, over 6000 were destroyed, only a handful remained without major damage, and thousands of Buddhist monks and nuns were killed or imprisoned.

You can read the case for Tibetan independence here and you can read the case for Chinese rule here. In fact, the Dalai Lama supports a 'third way' with Tibet remaining part of China but having full autonomy. In some senses, this is the similar to the current position of Hong Kong and it might be the way to reconcile mainland China with Taiwan.

These issues raise the question of what exactly defines a nation state. This is a matter I have discussed in my essay on "The Question Of Nationhood".

April 13, 2008

Knowledge and counterknowledge

I've just finished reading an excellent book called "Counterknowledge" [my review here]. The term is defined by the author Damian Thompson as follows "The essence of counterknowledge is that it purports to be knowledge but is not knowledge."

Thompson's targets include Creationism, pseudohistory and complementary medicine.

I identify completely with his trenchant analysis which is reflected in my own essay on "The Reason For Truth".

April 12, 2008

Making the most of my iPhone

I've had an iPhone since a few days after the mobile was launched in the UK and I've blogged about how much I love it.

But one of the few problems with the iPhone is that the guidebook is on-line and I don't find that a very user-friendly format. So I've just bought "iPhone UK: The Missing Manual" and this weekend I've been browsing through it and learning all sorts of new things about the ultra clever device.

Photos of Cuba

As regular visitors will know, a few weeks ago I had a holiday in Cuba and I've been writing up a narrative of the trip for my web site.

I've now added 56 photographs. You can check out the text and the pictures here

April 11, 2008

Another explanation for "Lost"?

A year ago, I blogged about a possible explanation for the television series "Lost". We were promised that the current series - the fourth - would give us some answers - and I suppose that we are now obtaining some clearer hints.

I haven't watched the series since before I went to Cuba a month ago, but I've been recording each episode through Sky+ and this evening I took in three episodes in one go. It's beginning to look as if the explanation for it all is some version of the multiple universe theory.

April 10, 2008

London premiere of "Fool's Gold"

I had some time to fill today between my afternoon meeting and my dinner engagement, so I went along to the West End Vue cinema in London's Leicester Square and saw the film "Vantage Point".

As I was leaving the cinema, I found that the British premiere of the new rom-com "Fool's Gold" was about to start and I hung around with the cheering crowds to get close up views of the film's good-looking stars Matthew McConaughey and Kate Hudson singing autographs as they slowly moved along a blue carpet.

Then I joined Vee and we had our first dinner with the new Mr & Mrs Darlington, our son Richard and his new bride Emily.

Happy birthday Big Ben

The iconic figure of Big Ben - actually the name refers to the bell not the tower - is 150 years old today. It is one of the most famous sights in the world and I pass it virtually every week.

But have you ever heard of Little Ben? I kid you not - you'll find it at the north end of Victoria Street.

April 09, 2008

6,000 visits a day

Yesterday the number of visitors to my web site exceeded 6,000. Thank you so much for your interest and support. Please encourage relatives and colleagues to have a look at the site.

The closure of post offices

The last two months has been one of the toughest periods of my professional life as I have experienced the wrath of customers faced with the likely closure of their post office in London. Some 169 offices - one in five - is scheduled for closure and I have spoken at many public meetings attended by outraged citizens.

The G2 section of today's "Guardian" has a major feature on post office closures focusing on three particular offices, including one in London on which oddly Postwatch has only received one representation.

I've recently written an article on Postwatch's role in the closure programme with particular reference to my patch of Greater London. I reproduce it below for those who want to go beyond the understandable but simple emotion of the issue.

The postal consumer watchdog has a difficult but crucial role in ensuring that post office closures disadvantage customers as little as possible, explains Roger Darlington, Chairman of the Greater London Region of Postwatch.

POST OFFICE CLOSURE PROGRAMME IN LONDON


Nobody likes to see post offices close. Sadly, however, offices are closing all the time on an unplanned basis. As Government provides services and customers do business in different ways, customer visits to the network have fallen from 28M a week to just 24M and the losses of Post Office Limited (POL) have risen from £100M a year to £200M.

Government has decided that nationwide there will 2,500 compensated closures which will be a reduction of around 18% in the size of the national network. Also there will also be 500 so-called outreach models which, in those rural locations, will offer a limited service.

For the purposes of this closure programme, POL has divided the country into 41 Area Plans based on Parliamentary constituencies. In the case of London, there is a single plan (the 19th and largest) on which consultation started on 19 February and finished on 2 April 2008. Some 169 post offices – one in five – have been proposed for closure. There would still be 681 offices in the capital.

The Postwatch role is as follows:

  • Prior to public consultation, we had a three week period to examine and make representations on the draft plan which resulted in 12 changes to the proposals.
  • During the six week public consultation, we attended every meeting to which we were invited (almost 30) and studied very carefully all the representations copied to us.
  • Now public consultation is over, we are reconsidering our position on the plan in the light of all the representations made, will make further representations to POL, and can appeal against a refusal to accept our objections to particular closures.
  • But we have no right of veto over any closure.

The meetings we have attended and the representations we have received often demonstrated powerful and understandable emotions around local closures, but Postwatch will only achieve further changes in the proposals if we can produce convincing evidence that a particular closure will exceptionally disadvantage customers.

So we are making strong representations where we believe that more customer visits can be expected because of local regeneration plans, that the access to the next nearest office is especially difficult, that the next nearest office does not have the capacity to cope with the extra transactions, or that the local economy will be particularly hard hit.

We hope and expect that the Post Office Decision Document on London - expected in May – will show that the views of the public and the representations of Postwatch have brought about further changes to the proposals.

All customers – perhaps especially vulnerable groups like the elderly – will be saddened by the closures, but the alternative is a network that slowly contracts in an unplanned and uneven way. If post offices have to close, then they need to be the ones that will least disadvantage customers and best ensure the future viability of the network.

April 08, 2008

Will we find the Higgs boson particle?

The Higgs boson is a sub-atomic particle whose existence is theorised but not yet proven. A boson is a particular type of particle and Higgs is Peter Higgs, emeritus professor of physics at the University of Edinburgh, who first postulated the existence of this particle in 1964.

Why is the particle important? It is the only particle in the Standard Model of particle physics not yet observed, but would help explain how otherwise massless elementary particles still manage to construct mass in matter.

How might it be discovered? This could out of the operation of the new Large Hadron Collider (LHC), a particle accelerator located at CERN, near Geneva, Switzerland, in a tunnel under France and Switzerland. The LHC opens to the public this weekend.

In this article in today's "Guardian", Peter Higgs expresses the hope that the existence of the particle will be proven by his 80th birthday on 29 May 2009. If it is, he will no doubt win a Nobel Prize.

April 07, 2008

Reforms start in Cuba

This weekend, I finished writing up a 15-page narrative of our rcent holiday in Cuba (some photographs will follow later) and you can read this here.

Today the "Guardian" has a full-page feature on the mild reforms in the Cuban economy just announced by new president Raul Castro. The conclusion of the article is as follows:

"Only so much ruin can be blamed on the US embargo and when the Castro brothers die, taking with them the revolution's founding legitimacy, its fate will hinge on delivering better material conditions, said one Havana economist: "They know they have maybe five years to turn things around. It's fix or perish." Sceptics say the effort is doomed. That no matter how much a moribund agriculture blossoms or how fast greater wealth trickles down, Cuba will remain an outpost of unworkable ideology until the day the place implodes."

April 06, 2008

London in the snow

On Friday, here in London, it was mild enough for me to have lunch on our garden terrace for the first time this year. But, two days later, what a contrast.

We rarely have snow in London and, when we do, it is in January or February. This morning, in early April, we woke up tp a good covering of snow - although, by lunchtime, most of it had gone.


The spinney at the end of our back garden

April 04, 2008

The American presidential election (25)

I haven't blogged much recently about the US primaries because there haven't been any actual polls. The final ten primaries are as follows:

22 April: Pennsylvania primary, 158 pledged delegates
3 May: Guam caucus, 4 delegates
6 May: Indiana primary, 72 delegates; North Carolina primary, 115 delegates
13 May: West Virginia primary, 28 delegates
20 May: Kentucky primary, 51 delegates; Oregon primary, 52 delegates
1 June: Puerto Rico primary, 55 delegates
3 June: Montana primary, 16 delegates; South Dakota primary, 15 delegates

Now Hillary Clinton is still saying that she will take the Democratic contest all the way to the party convention in Denver at the end of August. However, the party's leaders are insisting that, once the final primaries have been held, they want the super delegates to decide their votes and settle the election by early June.

But there is a third scenario. If Obama does really well in the Pennsylvania primary on 22 April, the pressure on Clinton to withdraw will intensify to a new pitch and she could withdraw (tearfully) by the end of the month. This is the scenario that I want to see - and it could happen.

April 03, 2008

How much water do you need?

I've always been amused by people who claim that we need to drink lots of water every day because it clears out toxins or gives you energy. The latest research would suggest that there is simply no evidence to support the need for lots of water.

For me, drinking glass after glass of water is boring and tasteless - and sends you to the toilet. I prefer to drink when I'm thirsty. My favourite drink is cappuccino but, in a typical day, I indulge in both coffee and tea with lesser amounts of orange and wine.

If you want to be healthy, I've offered some advice here.

April 01, 2008

The RAF at 90

As a lifelong aviation enthusiast, I could not fail to note that today is the 90th anniversary of the formation of the Royal Air Force. I have always been well aware of the importance of 1 April to the RAF because, in the biography that I wrote of my wife's father, I noted that his wartime night intruder operations started on this date.

Today the 90th anniversary was marked by a fly past over central London at 1 pm. Since I was down town for a meeting of the Postwatch Council, I was able to get to Buckingham Palace just in time for a good view of the Red Arrows and and Typhoons - stirring stuff.